I scanned the RealClear's Election 2016 Presidential Polls site to see what the election would look like if the polls where between Clinton (D),Trump (R), Johnson (LIB) and Stein (Green).
The General Election polls the Commission on Presidential Debates (CPD) will use to determine who gets on the podium, candidate will need minimum of 15% average of those organizations' most recent publicly-reported results at the time of the determination, are:
- ABC-Washington Post
- CBS-New York Times
- CNN-Opinion Research Corporation
- Fox News
- NBC-Wall Street Journal
They will be applied in mid-September, 2016. If a candidate is invited to the first Presidential debate, that person's Vice Presidential running mate will be invited to the Vice Presidential debate. The criteria will be reapplied between the first and second Presidential debates and the second and third Presidential debates.
1st Presidential and V.P. Debate, the CPD Avg. is: Clinton 43%, Trump 40.4%, Johnson 8.4%, and Stein 3.2%.
The 4-Way current numbers of all polls are:
Sunday, September 25
General Election (ABC News/Wash Post) - Clinton 46%, Trump 44%, Johnson 5%, Stein 1%, Other/Undecided 4%
Colorado (CBS News/YouGov) - Clinton 40%, Trump 39%, Johnson 7%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 12%
Maine (Press Herald/UNH) - Clinton 40, Trump 37, Johnson 12, Stein 3, Other/Undecided 8%
Missouri (CBS News/YouGov) - Trump 46%, Clinton 37%, Johnson 5%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 10%
Pennsylvania (Morning Call) - Clinton 40%, Trump 38%, Johnson 8%, Stein 3%, Other/Undecided 11%
Virginia (CBS News/YouGov) - Clinton 45%, Trump 37%, Johnson 7%, Stein 1%, Other/Undecided 10%
Friday, September 23
General Election (McClatchy/Marist) - Clinton 45%, Trump 39%, Johnson 10%, Stein 4%, Other/Undecided 2%
General Election (Gravis) - Clinton 44%, Trump 40%, Johnson 5%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 9%
Arkansas (Talk Business/Hendrix College) - Trump 55%, Clinton 34%, Johnson 3%, Stein 1%, Other/Undecided 7%
Thursday, September 22
General Election (Rasmussen Reports) - Trump 44%, Clinton 39%, Johnson 8%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 7%
General Election (Associated Press-GfK) - Clinton 45%, Trump 39%, Johnson 9%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 5%
California (PPIC) - Clinton 47%, Trump 31%, Johnson 10%, Stein 5%, Other/Undecided 7%
Colorado (Quinnipiac) - Clinton 44%, Trump 42%, Johnson 10%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 2%
Colorado (Rocky Mountain PBS) - Clinton 41%, Trump 34%, Johnson 12%, Stein 3%, Other/Undecided 10%
Florida (Suffolk) - Trump 45%, Clinton 44%, Johnson 3%, Stein 1%, Other/Undecided 7%
Illinois (Emerson) - Clinton 45% Trump 39%, Johnson 6%, Stein 3%, Other/Undecided 7%
Iowa (Quinnipiac) - Trump 44%, Clinton 37%, Johnson 10%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 7%
Maryland (Goucher College) - Clinton 58%, Trump 25%, Johnson 6%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 9%
Virginia (Quinnipiac) - Clinton 45%, Trump 39%, Johnson 8%, Stein 1%, Other/Undecided 7%
Virginia (Roanoke College) - Clinton 44%, Trump 37%, Johnson 8%, Stein 1%, Other/Undecided 10%
Wisconsin (Emerson) - Clinton 45%, Trump 38%, Johnson 11%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 4%
Wednesday, September 21
General Election (NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl) - Clinton 43%, Trump 37%, Johnson 9%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 9%
General Election (Reuters/Ipsos) - Trump 39%, Clinton 37%, Johnson 7%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 15%
General Election (Economist/YouGov) - Clinton 40%, Trump 38%, Johnson 7%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 13%
New Hampshire (Monmouth) - Clinton 47%, Trump 38%, Johnson 10%, Stein 1%, Other/Undecided 4%
Ohio (FOX News) - Trump 42%, Clinton 37%, Johnson 6%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 13%
Wisconsin (Marquette) - Clinton 41%, Trump 38%, Johnson 11%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 8%
Tuesday, September 20
General Election (NBC News/SM) - Clinton 45%, Trump 40%, Johnson 10%, Stein 4%, Other/Undecided 1%
California (Field) - Clinton 50%, Trump 33%, Johnson 5%, Stein 6%, Other/Undecided 6%
Florida (Monmouth) - Clinton 46%, Trump 41%, Johnson 6%, Stein 1%, Other/Undecided 6%
Maine (MPRC Avg.) - Clinton 37%, Trump 37%, Johnson 11%, Stein 4.6%, Other/Undecided 10.4%
New York, (Siena) - Clinton 51%, Trump 30%, Johnson 8%, Stein 3%, Other/Undecided 8%
Monday, September 19
Florida (NY Times/Siena) - Clinton 41%, Trump 40%, Johnson 9%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 8%
Illinois (Loras) - Clinton 43%, Trump 30%, Johnson 8%, Stein 3%, Other/Undecided 8%
Between July 12 - September 25, the highest Percent for the Candidates General and State are:
Clinton - 57%
Trump - 55%
Johnson - 16%
Stein - 7%
NYC Wins When Everyone Can Vote! Michael H. Drucker
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