Friday, October 10, 2025

Citi Bank Joins Stablecoin Race


Citi has Invested in BVNK, a Startup that Provides Global Payments Infrastructure using Stablecoins Digital Currencies, pegged to Fiat and Backed by Assets like Bonds. This move is part of a Broader Trend of large U.S. Banks, like Citi and JPMorgan, increasing their Presence in Crypto and Digital Asset Markets.

BVNK enables Clients to move Money between Fiat and Crypto, allowing for Fast, Low-Cost, 24/7 Cross-Border Transactions. Although the Investment Amount and Valuation were Not Disclosed, BVNK says it now Exceeds its previous $750 million Valuation. The Investment came from Citi Ventures, Citigroup’s VC Arm.

BVNK plans to Expand into Digital Banks and Neobanks, Supporting their Use of Stablecoins in Core Operations. The Company is on Track for Profitability in 2026, and is already Backed by Coinbase and Tiger Global. Other Banks like JPMorgan, BNY Mellon, and HSBC, are also Exploring or Launching Stablecoins and Tokenized Deposits to improve Transaction Efficiency using Blockchain Technology.

Shayne Coplan, now the World’s Youngest Billionaire, following Intercontinental Exchange Inc.’s (ICE) Landmark $2 Billion investment in His Company, Polymarket, at an $8 billion Pre-Money Valuation. Polymarket’s Evolution Captures, perhaps better than any other Project, the Transformative potential of Blockchain Technology, a system built on Transparency, Security, and Unrestricted Global Access. Polymarket in May 2024, we described as Groundbreaking and a Great Example of what Industries are best Suited for a Blockchain Offering. Later, its surprising Accuracy in Forecasting the U.S. Election.

Polymarket allows Users to Trade Event Outcomes through “Yes” or “No” Tokens, with each Token representing the Probability of a Future Event. These Range from Sports and Politics to Macroeconomic Data and Policy Outcomes. The Price of each Token, whether it trades at 40 cents or 70 cents, embeds the Crowd’s Collective Estimate of Probability. What Distinguishes Polymarket is that this Process occurs on Chain: every Trade, Contract, and Settlement is Visible on a Public Blockchain. This transforms Speculation into a Transparent Pricing Mechanism for Real-World Uncertainty.

The Concept isn’t New. Economists have long understood that Markets Aggregate Iinformation better than Surveys or Polls. What’s New is that Blockchain makes these Markets Global, Permissionless, and Composable. In Polymarket’s Case, anyone with an Internet Connection and Stablecoins can participate. This Universality, coupled with On-Chain Verifiability, turns each Contract into a Data Point that can be Analyzed, Integrated, and Built upon by Developers or Institutions. ICE’s Investment recognizes this Potential: these markets are not merely wagers, but real-time indicators of sentiment and risk—data that traditional finance can monetize.

At their core, on-chain prediction markets are financial primitives—foundational building blocks on which more complex products can be constructed. The parallels to options are striking. Options once began as simple Binary Bets on whether a Price would Rise or Fall; today they Underpin Trillions in Daily Trading Volume and Serve as the Backbone of Modern Risk Management. Similarly, Prediction Markets could evolve into a Toolkit for Hedging Non-Financial Events.

A Trader exposed to U.S. Treasury Yields, for instance, could take a Position in a Market predicting the Federal Reserve’s Next Rate Decision. An Energy Company worried about Political Instability could hedge Exposure by Trading on Election Outcomes in Key producing Regions. Even insurance Products could be Built atop Event Markets, Pricing Catastrophe, or Mortality Risk more Efficiently than Ttoday’s Intermediated Systems. In each example, the Underlying Principle remains Constant: the Ability to Transfer and Price uncertainty Directly through a Transparent, Global Market.

Running these Markets on a Public Blockchain Confers Structural Advantages. It Eliminates Intermediaries, Reducing Costs and Barriers to Entry. It allows Liquidity to Flow Continuously, regardless of Geography or Time Zone. Most importantly, it Produces Open Data in a Live Feed of Collective Probabilities that Anyone can Observe and Verify. For Data Providers such as ICE, this creates a New Class of Market Intelligence that can be Integrated into Pricing Models, Economic Forecasts, and Trading Systems.

Moreover, because these Smart Contracts are Open Source, New Platforms can build on Top of Polymarket’s Infrastructure, extending its reach far Beyond the Original Use Case. Developers might Design Dashboards for Institutional Traders, Analytics Tools that Extract Volatility Measures from Market Data, or Structured Products that Reference Event Probabilities. This Open Architecture Accelerates Innovation at a Pace Closed Systems cannot Match.

What makes Polymarket’s rise particularly Compelling, is how it Redefines the Boundary between Finance and Information. In Traditional Systems, Risk is Priced through Intermediaries, Brokers, Banks, and Insurers. On Chain Prediction Markets Reove those Intermediaries and Treat Information itself as a Tradable Asset. That Shift has Deep Implications. It enables Faster, Cheaper, and more Inclusive Access to Financial Tools, while Generating a New Data Layer that Quantifies Belief and Uncertainty in Real Time.

To Skeptics, this may Still resemble Gambling. Yet, as with the Early Oerivatives Markets, the Underlying Structure is far more Consequential. Polymarket Demonstrates that Knowledge can be Tokenized just as Effectively as Capital. As Regulatory Frameworks Mature and Liquidity Deepens, these Markets could become as Integral to Global Finance as Options and Futures are Today.










NYC Wins When Everyone Can Vote! Michael H. Drucker


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