Thursday, October 3, 2024

Russia Scraps Population Census as War Casualties Mount


Russian President Vladimir Putin has Signed a Law Suspending part of the All-Russian Population Census. This Measure is intended to hide Russian Society from the Demographic impact that the Casualties in Ukraine are having on the Population.

A Tally by Independent Russian Media outlet Mediazona and BBC News Russian, released on September 27th said more than 71,057 Russian Soldiers had been confirmed to have been killed, an increase of 1,998 since its last update in mid-September, although an estimate by Kyiv in the same month put the Moscow's Total losses at 649,170.

The Law, effective until January 1st, 2029, halts Paragraph 4 of Article 3 of the Census Law, affecting the Frequency of selective Federal Statistical Observations, which traditionally cover a sample of at least 5% of the Population. The Suspended Paragraph had Mandated regular Surveys as part of Russia's ongoing efforts to track Population Changes. However, with this Change, it is unclear how Moscow will proceed with Population tracking in the coming years.

The Suspension was Approved by the Federation Council on September 25th, 2024. Russian Officials have yet to Clarify if or how they Plan to Compensate for the Lack of up-to-date Population data over the next Five years.

Additionally, Moscow's Suspension of this Key Census Component may affect International bodies and Businesses that depend on the Country's Demographic data for Analysis, Market Strategies, and Forecasting. It also adds Russia to a growing list of Countries grappling with how to maintain accurate Population Statistics in the face of Financial, Technological, and Political Obstacles.

While the Suspension is set to End in 2029, it remains uncertain whether other Changes to Russia's Census Process will be introduced during this period. Meanwhile, in a separate Development, Ukraine is set to pull out of Vuhledar, a Town that has been a critical point of Contention between Ukrainian and Russian Forces for more than Two years.

As Ukraine continues to defend Key Cities and Russia consolidates its Control, the Geopolitical implications of these Developments are far-reaching, affecting not only the immediate Region, but also Global Political Dynamics.










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