Monday, March 7, 2022

Three Actions U.S. May Take Against Russia

American Officials on Sunday, identified Three areas on which the U.S. could soon take action in an attempt to address Russia's intensifying War in Ukraine:

- A Ban on Russian Oil Imports

- A Declaration of War Crimes against Russia

- Facilitating Delivery of Polish Fighter Jets to Ukraine

The urgent discussions underway among Top Aides to President Biden and between European Allies of the U.S., came as efforts to evacuate Civilians from Ukrainian Cities were stymied by Russian Shelling and as Ukraine's President pleaded with the West to do more.

Top U.S. National Security Officials said they were hurriedly seeking ways to further Punish Putin while providing Support to the outgunned Ukrainian Military. White House and other Western Officials, have made plain over the past days they expect the coming stretch of the War to be its Bloodiest as Putin grows frustrated at Russia's slower-than-expected Advances and seeks ways to grind ahead.

"Vladimir Putin has, unfortunately, the capacity, with the sheer manpower that he has in Ukraine and the overmatch that he has, the ability to keep grinding things down against incredibly resilient and courageous Ukrainians. I think we have to be prepared for this to last for some time. But just winning a battle is not winning the war." Secretary of State, Antony Blinken said.

Vice President Kamala Harris separately made brief Comments in support of the Ukrainian People in remarks from Selma, Alabama, Sunday afternoon, where she was marking the 57th Anniversary of Bloody Sunday. Harris told the audience: "Today the eyes of the world are on Ukraine and the brave people who are fighting to protect their country and their democracy." She told those gathered at the foot of the Edmund Pettus Bridge that the "bravery" of Ukrainian people resisting Russia's invasion "is a reminder that freedom, and democracy, can never be taken for granted, by any of us."

Ban on Russian Oil Imports - Biden, who is spending the weekend at his home in Delaware, convened a Phone Call Saturday with Top Members of his Administration to discuss a potential Ban on Russian Oil Imports, Blinken said, a step that has been under consideration at the White House since last last week. "We are now talking to our European partners and allies to look in a coordinated way at the prospect of banning the import of Russian oil, while making sure that there is a still an appropriate supply of oil on world markets," Blinken said. "That's a very active discussion as we speak."

Biden has faced pressure from Democrats and Republicans alike to impose Tougher Restrictions on Russia's Energy sector, which could prove far more Destructive than the Economic Sanctions applied by the West to date. Russian Oil Imports to the U.S, comprise a relatively Small percentage of the Country's overall supply, and they have been Declining sharply in recent weeks. There is little doubt Russia would be able to Sell those Supplies to other Countries, including China, if the U.S. stops buying them.

Still, the step would be significant, particularly since any Sanctions applied to Russia's Energy Sector were once considered virtually off the table, given the potential ripples on the Global Oil Market. So far, the U.S. and Europe have mostly avoided Major Steps that could impact Russian Energy, though the U.S. did Ban the import into Russia of Equipment needed for Oil and Gas Extraction.

But, some European Country's Port Workers have Refused to unload Russian Oil Ships. And some Shippers Refused to move Russian Oil.

White House Officials are now seriously reviewing what a Ban might do to Domestic Gas Prices, which have hit New Highs as the War in Ukraine causes Oil to spike in Price. In a series of tweets Sunday late afternoon, White House Press Secretary, Jen Psaki, acknowledged that despite efforts to Scale-Up Domestic Production of Energy, "Russia's actions still leave our consumers vulnerable."

Psaki outlined a Range of efforts from the Biden Administration to Increase Production of Natural Gas and Oil, but conceded that "domestic production has not insulated us from the price volatility of fossil fuels or the whims of those who control them, such as President Putin. Americans know that." "The only way to protect US over the long term is to become energy independent," she said, reiterating an Administration Priority. "That is why the President is so focused on deploying clean energy technologies that don't require fossil fuels bought and sold on the global market, which will always be vulnerable to bad actors."

Russia Committing War Crimes - There is a effort underway to assess whether the Targeting of Civilians underway in Ukraine, would constitute a War Crime. Linda Thomas-Greenfield, the U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations, said Sunday morning the U.S. was "working with our partners to collect and provide information" on potential War Crimes. "Any attack on civilians is a war crime," she said.

Ukraine's President, Volodymyr Zelensky, has described what is happening in his Country as War Crimes, and has called for an International Tribunal to investigate. British Prime Minister, Boris Johnson, has made similar Accusations. The International Criminal Court at the Hague, has opened an Investigation into potential War Crimes.

Last week, the U.S. Embassy in Kyiv said in a tweet, it would be a War Crime to Attack a Nuclear Power Plant after Russia did just that. "We have seen very credible reports of deliberate attacks on civilians, which would constitute a war crime. We have seen very credible reports about the use of certain weapons," Blinken said. "And what we're doing right now is documenting all of this, putting it all together, looking at it, and making sure that, as people and the appropriate organizations and institutions investigate whether war crimes have been or are being committed, that we can support whatever they're doing."

Polish Fighter Jets - U.S. and Polish Officials were in Discussions about a potential agreement to supply the Country with American F-16 Fighter Jets, in exchange for Poland sending its Russian-made Jets to Ukraine.

"We are working with Poland as we speak to see if we can backfill anything that they provide to the Ukrainians," Blinken said Sunday. "But we also want to see if we can be helpful in making sure that, whatever they provide to Ukrainians, something goes to them to make up for any gap in the security for Poland that might result."

Thomas-Greenfield also made clear the U.S. had "not in any way opposed the Polish government providing these jets to Ukraine."

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