Democrats Lead Republicans in New Voter Registrations in Four Battleground States

Arizona, Florida, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania, have Collectively Added Millions of New Voters to their Roles since 2016.

President Trump carried each of those States in the 2016 Presidential Election. But more of the New Voters in those Four Battlegrounds are Registering as Democrats than as Republicans, and many of them are Younger, TargetSmart Data shows.

Arizona - Democrats and Republicans are nearly neck and neck in Arizona. More than a Million New Voters have Registered in the State since 2016, and Democrats currently have an advantage of about 11,000.

Florida - The Nation's Largest Swing State, has seen a similar Trend since 2016. They Added some 2.43 Million New Voters to its Roles over the past Four years, with roughly 1/3rd of them Registering as Democrats. Republicans currently Trail them in New Registrations by about 60,000 Voters, while Unaffiliated Voters make up a Plurality of New Registrants.

North Carolina - About 1.3 Million New Voters have Registered since 2016, 393,409 of which have Registered as Democrats and 336,966 as Republicans. The Largest Bloc of New Voters, at 583,003, are Unaffiliated.

Pennsylvania - Some 961,106 New Voters have Registered since the 2016 Presidential Election. A Plurality of those New Voters, just under 45%, have Registered as Democrats, while another 21% are Unaffiliated with a Party. Republican Registrants make up about 31% of New Voters.

That's significant given President Trump's Narrow Victory in Pennsylvania Four years ago. He carried the State over Hillary Clinton by about 44,000 Votes. Since then, Democrats have Registered roughly 132,000 more New Voters there than Republicans.

In each of the States, the New Registrations are being driven largely by Young Voters, many of whom are choosing to Register without a Party Affiliation yet tend to favor Democratic Candidates.

In Florida, for example, nearly 37% of the 858,118 Unaffiliated Voters who have Joined the Voter Roles since 2016 are under the Age of 30, while about 12.5% are Over the age of 65, according to TargetSmart Data.

In Pennsylvania, a Majority of New Voters, nearly 53%, were between the Ages of 18 and 29.

To be sure, Voter Registration Numbers don't necessarily translate to Votes. Younger Voters tend to Vote at Lower Rates than their Older Counterparts.

Republicans have also long had an Edge over Democrats when it comes to actually turning out their Voters, though that Advantage largely Disappeared in the 2018 Midterm Elections, when Democrats Recaptured Control of the House and look to do the same in the Senate in 2021.










NYC Wins When Everyone Can Vote! Michael H. Drucker