A Ranked-Choice Voting (RCV) Poll from throws floodlight on Better Ways to Gauge Democratic Voter Preferences in Crowded Presidential Field.
The Poll, a First-of-its-kind by FairVote/YouGov of Democratic Voters, included Voter Rankings of Top Issues and Five Frontrunner Candidates: Joe Biden, Pete Buttigieg, Kamala Harris, Bernie Sanders, and Elizabeth Warren. Warren Won as Current Frontrunner through Poll’s Analytic Tools.
The Survey of 1,002 likely Democratic Presidential Primary Voters took Place from Sept. 2nd-6th.
FairVote’s Presentation of Findings includes a series of Online Interactive Tools and an Initial Report on featured Insights and Toplines from YouGov.
FairVote allowed Users to Filter Voter Preference Data by Demographic Groups, simulate a RCV Tally and Head-to-Head Contests between different Candidates, and see how RCV Ballots will work in Tandem with Democratic Party Rules involving Delegate Allocation in several States next year.
“In contrast to how most single choice opinion polling is used, ranked-choice surveys allow a greater understanding of how voters are considering a field of options, what depth of support candidates have in rankings and how one candidate’s fall over the course of the campaign could affect others' rise. While the state of the race may change coming out of tonight’s debate, the current findings suggest Sen. Elizabeth Warren as the current frontrunner in the race,” said FairVote President and CEO Rob Richie. “This survey gives a snapshot of a moment in time, showing where the democratic electorate is landing on the candidates and the issues, what could happen if the field narrows, and which candidates are best-positioned to benefit.”
According to Multiple Measures that take into Account Warren’s Breadth and Depth of Support, the Survey’s Findings show that she is currently Outpacing Joe Biden. In a Head-to-Head Contest, Warren is preferred over Biden by 53% to 47%.
The Survey also showed Warren as better Positioned against other Rivals, including Matchups against Bernie Sanders (Warren leads with 62%, while Biden leads with 57%), Harris (75% versus 60%) and Buttigieg (79% versus 63.5%).
While Biden leads in Single Choice Support, Warren Leads in breadth of Support measured by Rankings. Warren has the best Favorability in the entire Field, with 74% Rating her Favorably as compared to 13% Unfavorable.
A Plurality of Participants (36%) list Defeating Trump as their Top Factor in Picking a Candidate, but 60% say their Top Choice is a Candidate who either has the Best Policy Ideas (31%), best Reflects their Values (25%), or is a Historic Choice (4%).
Details of the Findings include:
- More than Two-Thirds of Participants reported that Ranking their Choices was Easy.
- 65% said they favor RCV, while only 13% Opposed.
Participants also voiced Preference for RCV to a Traditional Runoff Election by a Merging of Greater than Two-to-One and 75% Indicated it was important to consider Rule Changes that “would allow voters to vote for the candidate they like the most and still help decide who wins between the leading candidates.”
Of 15 Issues presented, Eight were identified by more than Half of Participants as worthy of a Lot of Time in the Upcoming Presidential Debates.
Voters deemed Three Top Issues worthy of an entire Debate, Health Care and Climate Change with 29% each and Gun Violence with 24%. In addition, a Majority of Participants thought that the Criteria for getting into Upcoming Debates is either “about right” (41%) or should have been made Easier (13%).
Harris Voters are Five times more likely to Indicate Warren as a Second Choice than Biden, and Harris is the Second Choice of a Quarter of Warren's Voters.
NYC Wins When Everyone Can Vote! Michael H. Drucker
No comments:
Post a Comment