A New Rule adopted by the Democratic National Committee (DNC) and NBC News will Evenly divide Top-Tier Candidates across Two Nights in the First Democratic Presidential Primary Debates in June, a move to maintain Viewer Interest in both Events by making sure well-known Contenders are on Stage both nights.
Current Candidates:
Michael Bennet - Colorado Senator
Joe Biden - former Vice President
Cory Booker - New Jersey Senator
Steve Bullock - Montana Governor
Pete Buttigieg - South Bend Indiana Mayor
Bill de Blasio - New York City Mayor
Julián Castro - former Housing and Urban Development Secretary
John Delaney - former Maryland Representative
Tulsi Gabbard - Hawaii Representative
Kirsten Gillibrand - New York Senator
Mike Gravel - former Alaska Senator
Kamala Harris, California Senator
John Hickenlooper, former Colorado Governor
Jay Inslee - Washington Governor
Amy Klobuchar - Minnesota Senator
Seth Moulton - Massachusetts Representative
Wayne Messam - Miramar Florida, Mayor
Beto O'Rourke - former Texas Representative
Tim Ryan - Ohio Representative
Bernie Sanders - Vermont Senator (I)
Eric Swalwell - California Representative
Elizabeth Warren - Massachusetts Senator
Marianne Williamson - California Author
Andrew Yang - Manhattan New York Entrepreneur, Philanthropist, and Politician
Democrats getting at least 2% support in the Polling Average will be Randomly and Evenly Split between the Two nights, which will each Feature 10 Candidates, according to the Formula. Candidates below that Threshold will also be Evenly and Randomly divided between the Two Debate lineups.
"The final list of debate participants (after any tie-breaking procedure is executed, if necessary) will be divided into two groups: candidates with a polling average of 2% or above, and those with a polling average below 2%," the Rule reads. "Both groups will be randomly divided between Wednesday night and Thursday night, thus ensuring that both groups are represented fairly on each night."
The Rule will Not keep any Two Candidates from appearing Onstage together. But it will prevent Random chance from loading One Night with Polling Leaders and the other night with Less well-known Presidential Candidates.
NBC News is the Media Partner for the First Debates on June 26th and 27th.
Eight Candidates have a Polling Average at or above 2% right now: Biden, Booker, Buttigieg, Harris, Klobuchar, O’Rourke, Sanders, and Warren.
With the Newly announced Rule, Four would be Guaranteed to appear on the First Night, and Four would be Guaranteed to appear on the Second night.
Biden and Sanders, currently occupying First and Second place in most Polls, will still have a Close to 50-50 chance of Appearing on the Same Night, about the same odds they would have under a purely Random Draw that does Not break the Field into Two groups.
Currently, 19 candidates have Qualified for the First Debates in Miami: Biden, Booker, Bullock, Buttigieg, Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Harris, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Klobuchar, O’Rourke, Ryan, Sanders, Swalwell, Warren, Williamson, and Yang.
Thirteen of those Candidates: Biden, Booker, Buttigieg, Castro, Gabbard, Harris, Inslee, Klobuchar, O’Rourke, Sanders, Warren, Williamson, and Yang, have crossed Both Thresholds, virtually guaranteeing them a Spot in One of the Two Nights.
“Here’s the bottom line: The DNC doesn’t want a 'kids table.' That’s what they fear,” NBC News Political Director Chuck Todd said on “The Tony Kornheiser Show,” before the New Formula was announced. “The goal is to make sure two nights [both have top-tier candidates], so it isn’t like all the big candidates on one night and all the 1 percenters on one night.”
In 2016, when Republicans also had a Large field of Presidential Candidates, those getting the Lowest Poll Numbers seethed at being Relegated to a Debate frequently referred to as the “Kiddie Table” Debate because it did Not include any of the Polling Leaders.
NYC Wins When Everyone Can Vote! Michael H. Drucker
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