On Wednesday, the Census Bureau released its Population Estimates for 2017 for every State, detailing how many Residents each State has Gained or Lost since the 2010 Census.
The firm Election Data Services has used these Estimates to Project how many Congressional Seats will Change in the 2020 Round of State's Reapportionment.
Each State's share of the House’s 435 Districts is based on its Population.
The 2018 Gubernatorial Elections and Legislative Contests over the next Three Years will be critical for determining the Partisan Control over the Process after 2020, and there are also Two Major upcoming Supreme Court Cases that could place Judicial Limits on Partisan Gerrymandering. One thing we do know, however, is that much of the Population growth in Sun Belt States like Texas comes from Black, Latino, and Asian-American Residents, which could benefit Democrats in those States.
Reapportionment will also determine how many Electoral College Votes each State Receives, since each State gets Electoral Votes equivalent to the Number of House Seats it has plus Two for its Senate Delegation. Adjusting the 2016 Electoral College outcome based on the above Projections, Trump would have gained Two to Three Electoral Votes, while Hillary Clinton would have Lost Two to Three, not nearly enough to affect the Outcome.
CLICK HERE to Read and View Charts in the Report.
NYC Wins When Everyone Can Vote! Michael H. Drucker
No comments:
Post a Comment