I scanned the RealClear's Election 2016 Presidential Polls site to see what the election would look like if the polls where between Clinton (D),Trump (R), Johnson (LIB) and Stein (Green).
The General Election polls the Commission on Presidential Debates (CPD) will use to determine who gets on the podium, candidate will need minimum of 15% average of those organizations' most recent publicly-reported results at the time of the determination, are:
- ABC-Washington Post
- CBS-New York Times
- CNN-Opinion Research Corporation
- Fox News
- NBC-Wall Street Journal
They will be applied in mid-September, 2016. If a candidate is invited to the first Presidential debate, that person's Vice Presidential running mate will be invited to the Vice Presidential debate. The criteria will be reapplied between the first and second Presidential debates and the second and third Presidential debates.
1st Presidential and V.P. Debate, the CPD Avg. is: Clinton 43%, Trump 40.4%, Johnson 8.4%, and Stein 3.2%.
2nd Presidential Debate Oct 9th, 2016, Washington University in St. Louis, St. Louis, MO - the CPD Avg. is: Clinton 44.8%, Trump 40.8%, Johnson 7.4%, and Stein 2.6%.
3rd Presidential Debate Oct 19th, 2016, University of Nevada, Las Vegas, Las Vegas, NV - the CPD Avg. is: Clinton 45.8%, Trump 40.4%, Johnson 7.0%, and Stein 2.2%.
The 4-Way current numbers of all polls are:
Sunday, October 16
General Election (ABC News/Wash Post) - Clinton 47%, Trump 43%, Johnson 5%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 3%
General Election (NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl) - Clinton 48%, Trump 37%, Johnson 7%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 6%
Florida (Gravis) - Clinton 46%, Trump 42%, Johnson 2%, Stein 1%, Other/Undecided 9%
Colorado (Gravis) - Clinton 44%, Trump 39%, Johnson 6%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 9%
Montana (Mason-Dixon) - Trump 46%, Clinton 36%, Johnson 11%, Stein 0%, Other/Undecided 7%
Utah (CBS News/YouGov) - Trump 37%, Clinton 20%, McMullen 20%, Johnson 7%, Stein 1%, Other/Undecided 15%
Virginia (Christopher Newport Univ.) - Clinton 44%, Trump 29%, Johnson 11%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 14%
Friday, October 14
General Election (Rasmussen Reports) - Trump 43%, Clinton 41%, Johnson 6%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 8%
New Hampshire (WBUR/MassINC) - Clinton 41%, Trump 38%, Johnson 11%, Stein 3%, Other/Undecided 7%
Oregon (KATU-TV/SurveyUSA - Clinton 48%, Trump 38%, Johnson 6%, Stein 4%, Other/Undecided 4%
Texas (WFAA-TV/SurveyUSA) - Trump 47%, Clinton 43%, Johnson 3%, Stein 1%, Other/Undecided 6%
Thursday, October 13
General Election (FOX News) - Clinton 45%, Trump 38%, Johnson 7%, Stein 3%, Other/Undecided 7%
General Election (Rasmussen Reports) - Trump 43%, Clinton 41%, Johnson 6%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 8%
Michigan (FOX 2 Detroit/Mitchell) - Clinton 47%, Trump 37%, Johnson 7%, Stein 4%, Other/Undecided 5%
Missouri (Remington Research) - Trump 47%, Clinton 42%, Johnson 4%, Stein 1%, Other/Undecided 6%
Ohio (NBC/WSJ/Marist) - Trump 42%, Clinton 41%, Johnson 9%, Stein 4%, Other/Undecided 4%
Ohio (Emerson) - Clinton 45%, Trump 43%, Johnson 7%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 3%
Pennsylvania (Bloomberg) - Clinton 48%, Trump 39%, Johnson 6%, Stein 4%, Other/Undecided 6%
Utah (Monmouth) - Trump 34%, Clinton 28%, Johnson 9%, Stein 1%, Other/Undecided 28%
Virginia (Emerson) - Clinton 46%, Trump 43%, Johnson 6%, Stein 0%, Other/Undecided 5%
Wednesday, October 12
General Election (Rasmussen Reports) - Clinton 43%, Trump 39%, Johnson 7%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 9%
General Election (Reuters/Ipsos) - Clinton 44%, Trump 37%, Johnson 6%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 11%
Florida (Opinion Savvy) - Clinton 47%, Trump 44%, Johnson 5%, Stein 1%, Other/Undecided 3%
Michigan (Detroit News) - Clinton 42%, Trump 31%, Johnson 10%, Stein 5%, Other/Undecided 12%
Maine (MPRC) - Clinton 44%, Trump 36%, Johnson 9%, Stein 3%, Other/Undecided 8%
Missouri (Monmouth) - Trump 46%, Clinton 41%, Johnson 5%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 6%
Utah (Y2 Analytics) - Clinton 26%, Trump 26%, Johnson 14%, Stein 1%, Other/Undecided 33%
Wisconsin (Marquette) - Clinton 44%, Trump 37%, Johnson 9%, Stein 3%, Other/Undecided 7%
Tuesday, October 11
General Election (NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl) - Clinton 46%, Trump 37%, Johnson 8%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 7%
General Election (Rasmussen Reports) - Clinton 44%, Trump 39%, Johnson 7%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 8%
Pennsylvania (Susquehanna) - Clinton 44%, Trump 40%, Johnson 4%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 10%
Virginia (Roanoke College) - Clinton 45%, Trump 36%, Johnson 7%, Stein 1%, Other/Undecided 11%
Monday, October 10
General Election (NBC News/SM) - Clinton 46%, Trump 41%, Johnson 8%, Stein 3%, Other/Undecided 2%
General Election (NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl) - Clinton 46%, Trump 35%, Johnson 9%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 8%
General Election (Rasmussen Reports) - Clinton 45%, Trump 38%, Johnson 7%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 8%
Wisconsin (Loras) - Clinton 43%, Trump 35%, Johnson 8%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 12%
Between July 12th - October 16th, the highest Percent for the Candidates General and State Polls are:
Clinton - 63%
Trump - 56%
Johnson - 24%
Stein - 7%
NYC Wins When Everyone Can Vote! Michael H. Drucker
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