Sunday, October 2, 2016

General Election Presidential Major/Minor Party Polls Oct 2 Update



I scanned the RealClear's Election 2016 Presidential Polls site to see what the election would look like if the polls where between Clinton (D),Trump (R), Johnson (LIB) and Stein (Green).

The General Election polls the Commission on Presidential Debates (CPD) will use to determine who gets on the podium, candidate will need minimum of 15% average of those organizations' most recent publicly-reported results at the time of the determination, are:

- ABC-Washington Post
- CBS-New York Times
- CNN-Opinion Research Corporation
- Fox News
- NBC-Wall Street Journal

They will be applied in mid-September, 2016. If a candidate is invited to the first Presidential debate, that person's Vice Presidential running mate will be invited to the Vice Presidential debate. The criteria will be reapplied between the first and second Presidential debates and the second and third Presidential debates.

1st Presidential and V.P. Debate, the CPD Avg. is: Clinton 43%, Trump 40.4%, Johnson 8.4%, and Stein 3.2%.

The 4-Way current numbers of all polls are:

Sunday, October 2
New Mexico (Albuquerque Journal) - Clinton 35%, Trump 31%, Johnson 24%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 8%

Friday, September 30
General Election (FOX News) - Clinton 43%, Trump 40%, Johnson 8%, Stein 4%, Other/Undecided 5%

Florida (Mason-Dixon) - Clinton 46%, Trump 42%, Johnson 7%, Stein 1%, Other/Undecided 4%

Florida (FOX 13/Opinion Savvy) - Clinton 47%, Trump 46%, Johnson 4%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 1%

Michigan (Detroit News) - Clinton 42%, Trump 35%, Johnson 9%, Stein 3%, Other/Undecided 11%

New Hampshire (WBUR/MassINC) - Clinton 42%, Trump 35%, Johnson 13%, Stein 4%, Other/Undecided 6%

Thursday, September 29
General Election (Rasmussen Reports) - Clinton 42%, Trump 41%, Johnson 7%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 8%

California (KABC/SurveyUSA) - Clinton 59%, Trump 33%, Johnson 3%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 3%

South Carolina (Winthrop) - Trump 42%, Clinton 38%, Johnson 6%, Stein 3%, Other/Undecided 11%

Wednesday, September 28
General Election (Reuters/Ipsos) - Clinton 42%, Trump 38%, Johnson 7%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 11%

General Election (PPP) - Clinton 44%, Trump 40%, Johnson 6%, Stein 1%, Other/Undecided 9%

Michigan (FOX 2 Detroit/Mitchell) - Clinton 46%, Trump 41%, Johnson 8%, Stein 1%, Other/Undecided 4%

Nebraska (Emerson) - Trump 56%, Clinton 29%, Johnson 7%, Stein 1%, Other/Undecided 7%

Washington (Emerson) - Clinton 44%, Trump 38%, Johnson 7%, Stein 5%, Other/Undecided 6%

Monday, September 26
General Election (Bloomberg) - Trump 43%, Clinton 41%, Johnson 8%, Stein 4%, Other/Undecided 4%

General Election (Quinnipiac) - Clinton 44%, Trump 43%, Johnson 8%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 3%

General Election (Monmouth) - Clinton 46%, Trump 42%, Johnson 8%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 2%

General Election (NBC News/SM) - Clinton 45%, Trump 40%, Johnson 10%, Stein 3%, Other/Undecided 2%

Colorado (CNN/ORC) - Trump 42%, Clinton 41%, Johnson 13%, Stein 3%, Other/Undecided 1%

Iowa (Loras) - Clinton 38%, Trump 38%, Johnson 9%, Stein 1%, Other/Undecided 14%

Louisiana (JMC Analytics) - Trump 45%, Clinton 35%, Johnson 6%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 12%

Massachusetts (UMass Amherst/WBZ) - Clinton 46% Trump 33%, Johnson 8%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 11%

Minnesota (KSTP/SurveyUSA) - Clinton 46%, Trump 39%, Johnson 6%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 7%

New York (NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist - Clinton 52%, Trump 31%, Johnson 7%, Stein 5%, Other/Undecided 5%

Pennsylvania (CNN/ORC) - Clinton 45%, Trump 44%, Johnson 6%, Stein 3%, Other/Undecided 2%

Pennsylvania (Harper) - Clinton 45%, Trump 43%, Johnson 8%, Stein 1%, Other/Undecided 3%

Pennsylvania (Gravis) - Clinton 46%, Trump 43%, Johnson 3%, Stein 3%, Other/Undecided 5%

Pennsylvania (Mercyhurst) - Clinton 42%, Trump 41%, Johnson 4%, Stein 3%, Other/Undecided 10%

Virginia (Christopher Newport Univ.) - Clinton 39%, Trump 33%, Johnson 15%, Stein 3%, Other/Undecided 10%

Between July 12 - October 2, the highest Percent for the Candidates General and State Polls are:

Clinton - 57%

Trump - 56%

Johnson - 24%

Stein - 7%











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