Sunday, September 18, 2016

General Election Presidential Major/Minor Party Polls Sep. 18 Update


I scanned the RealClear's Election 2016 Presidential Polls site to see what the election would look like if the polls where between Clinton (D),Trump (R), Johnson (LIB) and Stein (Green).

The General Election polls the Commission on Presidential Debates (CPD) will use to determine who gets on the podium, candidate will need minimum of 15% average of those organizations' most recent publicly-reported results at the time of the determination, are:

- ABC-Washington Post
- CBS-New York Times
- CNN-Opinion Research Corporation
- Fox News
- NBC-Wall Street Journal

They will be applied in mid-September, 2016. If a candidate is invited to the first Presidential debate, that person's Vice Presidential running mate will be invited to the Vice Presidential debate. The criteria will be reapplied between the first and second Presidential debates and the second and third Presidential debates.

1st Presidential and V.P. Debate, the CPD Avg. is: Clinton 43%, Trump 40.4%, Johnson 8.4%, and Stein 3.2%.

The 4-Way current numbers of all polls are:

Sunday, September 18
Minnesota (Star Tribune) - Clinton 44%, Trump 38%, Johnson 6%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 10%

Pennsylvania (Morning Call) - Clinton 40%, Trump 32%, Johnson 14%, Stein 5%, Other/Undecided 9%

Thursday, September 15
General Election (CBS News/NY Times) - Clinton 42%, Trump 42%, Johnson 8%, Stein 4%, Other/Undecided 4%

General Election (Rasmussen Reports) - Trump 42%, Clinton 40%, Johnson 7%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 9%

Iowa (Monmouth) - Trump 45%, Clinton 37%, Johnson 8%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 8%

Virginia (Univ. of Mary Washington) - Clinton 40%, Trump 37%, Johnson 8%, Stein 1%, Other/Undecided 14%

Texas (Texas Lyceum) - Trump 39%, Clinton 32%, Johnson 9%, Stein 3%, Other/Undecided 17%

Wednesday, September 14
General Election (Quinnipiac) - Clinton 41%, Trump 39%, Johnson 13%, Stein 4%, Other/Undecided 3%

General Election (Reuters/Ipsos) - Clinton 39%, Trump 39%, Johnson 8%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 12%

General Election (Economist/YouGov) - Clinton 42%, Trump 40%, Johnson 5%, Stein 3%, Other/Undecided 10%

Florida (CNN/ORC) - Trump 47%, Clinton 44%, Johnson 6%, Stein 1%, Other/Undecided 2%

Ohio (CNN/ORC) - Trump 46%, Clinton 41%, Johnson 8%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 3%

Ohio (Bloomberg) - Trump 44%, Clinton 39%, Johnson 10%, Stein 3%, Other/Undecided 4%

Maine (Boston Globe/SurveyUSA) - Clinton 42%, Trump 39%, Johnson 9%, Stein 5%, Other/Undecided 5%

Massachusetts (WBUR/MassINC) - Clinton 54%, Trump 28%, Johnson 9%, Stein 4%, Other/Undecided 5%

Kansas (KSN News/SurveyUSA) - Trump 48%, Clinton 36%, Johnson 8%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 6%

South Carolina (Trafalgar Group) - Trump 53%, Clinton 38%, Johnson 3%, Stein 1%, Other/Undecided 5%

Tuesday, September 13
General Election (NBC News/SM) - Clinton 42%, Trump 40%, Johnson 11%, Stein 4%, Other/Undecided 5%

Virginia (PPP) - Clinton 45%, Trump 39%, Johnson 6%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 8%

California (KABC/SurveyUSA) - Clinton 57%, Trump 32%, Johnson 3%, Stein 1%, Other/Undecided 7%

Monday, September 12
Florida (JMC Analytics) - Trump 46%, Clinton 42%, Johnson 3%, Stein 1%, Other/Undecided 8%

Michigan (FOX 2 Detroit/Mitchell) - Clinton 45%, Trump 39%, Johnson 7%, Stein 1%, Other/Undecided 8%

Utah (UtahPolicy/Dan Jones) - Trump 39%, Clinton 24%, Johnson 13%, Stein 0%, Other/Undecided 24%

Between July 12 - September 11, the highest Percent for the Candidates General and State are:

Clinton - 57%

Trump - 53%

Johnson - 16%

Stein - 7%











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