I scanned the RealClear's Election 2016 Presidential Polls site to see what the election would look like if the polls where between Clinton (D),Trump (R), Johnson (LIB) and Stein (Green).
The General Election polls the Commission on Presidential Debates (CPD) will use to determine who gets on the podium, candidate will need minimum of 15% average of those organizations' most recent publicly-reported results at the time of the determination, are:
- ABC-Washington Post
- CBS-New York Times
- CNN-Opinion Research Corporation
- Fox News
- NBC-Wall Street Journal
They will be applied in mid-September, 2016. If a candidate is invited to the first Presidential debate, that person's Vice Presidential running mate will be invited to the Vice Presidential debate. The criteria will be reapplied between the first and second Presidential debates and the second and third Presidential debates.
As of Sept. 7, the CPD avg. is: Clinton 42.25%, Trump 36.5%, Johnson 10.2%, and Stein 5%.
The 4-Way current numbers of all polls are:
Sunday, September 11
General Election (ABC News/Wash Post) - Clinton 46, Trump 41%, Johnson 9%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 2%
Nevada (NBC/WSJ/Marist) - Trump 42%, Clinton 41%, Johnson 8%, Stein 3%, Other/Undecided 6%
Arizona (NBC/WSJ/Marist) - Trump 40%, Clinton 38%, Johnson 12%, Stein 3%, Other/Undecided 7%
New Hampshire (NBC/WSJ/Marist) - Clinton 39%, Trump 37%, Johnson 15%, Stein 3%, Other/Undecided 6%
Georgia (NBC/WSJ/Marist) - Trump 44%, Clinton 42%, Johnson 10%, Stein 1%, Other/Undecided 3%
Florida (CBS News/YouGov) - Clinton 44%, Trump 42%, Johnson 5%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 6%
Ohio (CBS News/YouGov) - Clinton 46%, Trump 39%, Johnson 7%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 6%
Thursday, September 8
General Election (Rasmussen Reports) - Clinton 43%, Trump 39%, Johnson 9%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 7%
Florida (Quinnipiac) - Clinton 43%, Trump 43%, Johnson 8%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 4%
Ohio (Quinnipiac) - Trump 41%, Clinton 37%, Johnson 14%, Stein 4%, Other/Undecided 4%
Pennsylvania (Quinnipiac) - Clinton 44%, Trump 39%, Johnson 9%, Stein 3%, Other/Undecided 5%
Colorado (Magellan) - Clinton 41%, Trump 36%, Johnson 13%, Stein 3%, Other/Undecided 7%
Oregon (DHM Research) - Clinton 38%, Trump 25%, Johnson 10%, Stein 3%, Other/Undecided 24%
Wednesday, September 7
General Election (GWU/Battleground) - Clinton 42%, Trump 40%, Johnson 11%, Stein 3%, Other/Undecided 4%
General Election (Economist/YouGov) - Clinton 40%, Trump 38%, Johnson 7%, Stein 5%, Other/Undecided 10%
General Election (Reuters/Ipsos) - Clinton 40%, Trump 38%, Johnson 8%, Stein 3%, Other/Undecided 11%
Florida (PPP) - Trump 44%, Clinton 43%, Johnson 5%, Stein 1%, Other/Undecided 7%
New Hampshire (Emerson) - Clinton 42%, Trump 37%, Johnson 14%, Stein 4%, Other/Undecided 3%
Maine (Emerson) - Clinton 44%, Trump 35%, Johnson 12%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 7%
Vermont (Emerson) - Clinton 47%, Trump 26%, Johnson 13%, Stein 7%, Other/Undecided 7%
Massachusetts (Emerson) - Clinton 50%, Trump 33%, Johnson 9%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 6%
Rhode Island (Emerson) - Clinton 44%, Trump 41%, Johnson 8%, Stein 4%, Other/Undecided 3%
Connecticut (Emerson) - Clinton 50%, Trump 35%, Johnson 9%, Stein 4%, Other/Undecided 2%
New Jersey (Emerson) - Clinton 47%, Trump 43%, Johnson 5%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 3%
Arizona (Arizona Republic) - Clinton 35%, Trump 34%, Johnson 7%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 22%
Tuesday, September 6
General Election (CNN/ORC) - Trump 45%, Clinton 43%, Johnson 7%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 3%
General Election (NBC News/SM) - Clinton 41%, Trump 37%, Johnson 12%, Stein 4%, Other/Undecided 6%
Maryland (OpinionWorks) - Clinton 54%, Trump 25%, Johnson 6%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 13%
Missouri (Remington Research) - Trump 47%, Clinton 38%, Johnson 8%, Stein 3%, Other/Undecided 4%
August Average
General Election (Fox News) - Clinton 41%, Trump 39%, Johnson 9%, Stein 5%, Other/Undecided 6%
General Election (Monmouth University) - Clinton 46%, Trump 39%, Johnson 7%, Stein 5%, Other/Undecided 3%
General Election (PPP) - Clinton 42%, Trump 37%, Johnson 6%, Stein 4%, Other/Undecided 11%
Florida (Mason-Dixon Polling & Research) - Clinton 44%, Trump 42%, Johnson 6%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 6%
Michigan (Suffolk University) - Clinton 44%, Trump 37%, Johnson 5%, Stein 3%, Other/Undecided 11%
Pennsylvania (Monmouth University) - Clinton 48%, Trump 40%, Johnson 6%, Stein 1%, Other/Undecided 5%
Wisconsin (Marquette Law School) - Clinton 45%, Trump 42%, Johnson 9%, Stein 3%, Other/Undecided 1%
Wisconsin (Monmouth University) - Clinton 43%, Trump 38%, Johnson 8%, Stein 7%, Other/Undecided 4%
Between July 12 - September 11, the highest Percent for the Candidates General and State are:
Clinton - 54%
Trump - 52%
Johnson - 16%
Stein - 7%
NYC Wins When Everyone Can Vote! Michael H. Drucker
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