I scanned the RealClear's Election 2016 Presidential Polls site to see what the election would look like if the polls where between Clinton (D),Trump (R), Johnson (LIB) and Stein (Green).
The General Election polls the Commission on Presidential Debates (CPD) will use to determine who gets on the podium, candidate will need minimum of 15% average of those organizations' most recent publicly-reported results at the time of the determination, are:
- ABC-Washington Post
- CBS-New York Times
- CNN-Opinion Research Corporation
- Fox News
- NBC-Wall Street Journal
They will be applied in mid-September, 2016. If a candidate is invited to the first Presidential debate, that person's Vice Presidential running mate will be invited to the Vice Presidential debate. The criteria will be reapplied between the first and second Presidential debates and the second and third Presidential debates.
From July 29 - August 4, the avg. is: Clinton 44%, Trump 36%, Johnson 10%, and Stein 5%.
The current numbers of all polls are:
Sunday, September 4
Pennsylvania (CBS News/YouGov) - Clinton 45%, Trump 37%, Johnson 6%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 10%
North Carolina (CBS News/YouGov) - Clinton 46%, Trump 42%, Johnson 4%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 6%
Friday, September 2
General Election (IBD/TIPP) - Clinton 39%, Trump 39%, Johnson 12%, Stein 3%, Other/Undecided 7%
Iowa (Emerson) - Trump 44%, Clinton 39%, Johnson 8%, Stein 1%, Other/Undecided 8%
Virginia (Emerson) - Clinton 43.5%, Trump 43%, Johnson 10.9%, Stein 2.6%, Other/Undecided 0%
New Hampshire (WMUR/UNH) - Clinton 43%, Trump 32%, Johnson 12%, Stein 4%, Other/Undecided 9%
Thursday, September 1
General Election (USA Today/Suffolk) - Clinton 42%, Trump 35%, Johnson 9%, Stein 4%, Other/Undecided 10%
General Election (Rasmussen Reports) - Trump 40%, Clinton 39%, Johnson 7%, Stein 3%, Other/Undecided 11%
Pennsylvania (Franklin & Marshall) - Clinton 45%, Trump 40%, Johnson 5%, Stein 3%, Other/Undecided 7%
West Virginia (MetroNews) - Trump 49%, Clinton 31%, Johnson 10%, Stein 4%, Other/Undecided 6%
Wednesday, August 31
General Election (FOX News) - Clinton 41%, Trump 39%, Johnson 9%, Stein 4%, Other/Undecided 7%
General Election (Reuters/Ipsos) - Clinton 40%, Trump 38%, Johnson 6%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 14%
General Election (Economist/YouGov) - Clinton 42%, Trump 37%, Johnson 7%, Stein 3%, Other/Undecided 11%
Wisconsin (Marquette) - Clinton 41%, Trump 38%, Johnson 10%, Stein 4%, Other/Undecided 7%
Wisconsin (Monmouth) - Clinton 43%, Trump 38%, Johnson 7%, Stein 3%, Other/Undecided 9%
North Carolina (Emerson) - Trump 45%, Clinton 43%, Johnson 8%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 2%
New York (Emerson) - Clinton 52% Trump 34%, Johnson 8%, Stein 3%, Other/Undecided 3%
Arizona (Gravis) - Trump 44%, Clinton 40%, Johnson 8%, Stein 1%, Other/Undecided 4%
Tuesday, August 30
General Election (PP) - Clinton 42%, Trump 37%, Johnson 6%, Stein 4%, Other/Undecided 11%
General Election (NBC News/SM) - Clinton 41%, Trump 37%, Johnson 11%, Stein 5%, Other/Undecided 6%
Pennsylvania (Monmouth) - Clinton 48%, Trump 40%, Johnson 6%, Stein 1%, Other/Undecided 5%
Monday, August 29
General Election (Monmouth) - Clinton 46%, Trump 39%, Johnson 7%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 6%
Pennsylvania (Emerson) - Clinton 46%, Trump 43%, Johnson 7%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 2%
Ohio (Emerson) - Clinton 43%, Trump 43%, Johnson 10%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 2%
Michigan (Emerson) - Clinton 45%, Trump 40%, Johnson 7%, Stein 3%, Other/Undecided 5%
Arizona (OH Predictive Insights) - Clinton 40%, Trump 39%, Johnson 7&, Stein 1%, Other/Undecided 13%
Between July 12 - September 4, the highest Percent for the Candidates General and State are:
Clinton - 52%
Trump - 52%
Johnson - 16%
Stein - 7%
NYC Wins When Everyone Can Vote! Michael H. Drucker
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