The POLITICO Battleground States polling average is a calculation of the most recent public polling in 11 swing states: Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, and Wisconsin. The average will provide estimates of the candidates’ standing from overall and state-level perspectives.
The averages for each state include the five most-recent reliable public polls, as determined by POLITICO.
This excludes polls conducted entirely over landline phones, which don’t survey the nearly half of Americans who only own a cell phone, but includes surveys conducted by partisan pollsters. For each survey, if the poll includes ballot tests both including and excluding third-party candidates, the data used is whichever match-up is asked first in the available script.
The overall Battleground States average includes the five most recent polls from each state, weighted according to that state’s representation in the Electoral College.
A poll from Florida, 29 electoral votes, would be weighted 7.25 times more than a poll from New Hampshire, 4 electoral votes, for example.
Colorado - Clinton 46%, Trump 35%
Florida - Clinton 45.4%, Trump 41%
Iowa - Clinton 41.4%, Trump 40.4%
Michigan - Clinton 41.4%, Trump 34.6%
Nevada - Clinton 44%, Trump 42%
New Hampshire - Clinton 43.2%, Trump 38%
North Carolina - Clinton 45.4%, 41.4%
Ohio - Clinton 44%, Trump 40.8%
Pennsylvania - Clinton 48.8%, Trump 38.8%
Virginia - Clinton 48.8%, Trump 37.8%
Wisconsin - Clinton 45.2%, Trump 38.8%
11-State weighted average: Clinton: 45.3%; Trump: 39.1%
CLICK HERE to view the polling averages that is constantly changing.
NYC Wins When Everyone Can Vote! Michael H. Drucker
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