Tuesday, April 5, 2016

Trump Campaign in Constant Change


Since March, the Trump campaign has been laying off field staff around the country and has dismantled much of what existed of its organizations in General-Election battlegrounds, including Florida and Ohio.

Last month, the campaign laid off the leader of its data team, Matt Braynard, who did not train a successor. It elevated his No. 2, a data engineer with little prior high-level political strategy experience, and also shifted some of his team’s duties to a 2015 college graduate whose last job was an internship with the consumer products company Colgate-Palmolive. Some of the campaign’s data remains inaccessible.

As the final stretch of this hard fought GOP Primary bogs down into a delegate fight among party insiders and operatives that likely won’t be decided until the July Convention in Cleveland, Trump’s singular star power appears to be no longer enough, and his campaign’s months-long lack of attention to other fundamentals is emerging as a hindrance to his ability to clinch the nomination outright.

“Presidential campaigns are a team sport, and he doesn’t have that mentality,” one high-level GOP operative said. “That's why they're missing a lot of these opportunities that are passing them by. Trump might be a great quarterback, but every quarterback still needs a strong offensive line.” While the campaign has let go of staff in states that already voted, he chalked that up to “the nature of a campaign.”

At the moment, though, Trump’s team appears to be something of a patchwork group without much experience, partly because so many staffers are being fired.

Only four of 11 Iowa staffers continued on after Trump lost that state’s Caucuses in February. More recently, most of Trump’s South Carolina, Florida and Ohio teams have not had their contracts renewed, according to a person familiar with the campaign, who said the lack of organization in Florida was putting Trump at a disadvantage in the delegate selection process.

While Trump’s South Carolina Coalitions Director, Nancy Mace, remains on payroll and is organizing in Wisconsin, most of the rest of Trump’s South Carolina team did not have their contracts renewed. Following a bout of illness in late February, Myrtle Beach area Tea Party activist Gerri McDaniel, who organized for Trump in Horry County, which the mogul carried with roughly half of the vote, was let go by National Field Director Stuart Jolly in early March, shortly after he assumed authority over field staffing decisions, according to a person familiar with the incident.

But that decision, like some other personnel decisions made in recent weeks, has not fully stuck. Recently, McDaniel was brought back as a volunteer to help Trump secure loyal delegates from South Carolina to the Republican National Convention, according to three people familiar with her new role.

Multiple staffers and advisors left the campaign last month in protest of the way its management was treating its staff, a source familiar with the departures said. “I believe that Donald Trump has the backbone to fix this country, but if changes are not made soon at the top I am fairly convinced that he will lose,” said one of the people who left the campaign. The person said morale among the campaign staff is sinking, attributing that to the layoffs, as well as Lewandowski’s profanity-laced outburst on campaign calls. “I don’t think Mr. Trump knows what’s happening on his campaign,” the person said, adding “everyone is in astonishment of what’s going on. It’s almost like they’re sabotaging themselves.”

Braynard, the former Republican National Committee (RNC) strategist Trump had hired to run his campaign’s data team, was let go by the campaign a couple weeks ago. Neither Braynard nor Lewandowski commented when asked whether Braynard left of his own accord or was fired. Sources say his top Lieutenant in the campaign’s data shop, a former RNC data engineer named Witold Chrabaszcz, was elevated at least temporarily to run the team. Chrabaszcz, who goes by “Vito,” declined to comment. While he is regarded as a savvy manipulator of data, he’s largely unknown in the tight-knit world of GOP data strategists. He seldom worked on political strategy at the RNC and mostly interacted with the party’s other data engineers, a group known as the “basement dwellers.”

According to a person familiar with the campaign, Braynard’s departure has left some on the campaign unable to access some of its files. Some of his team’s duties have fallen to a young staffer named Ashton Adams, according to another person close to the campaign. Adams graduated from the University of Arkansas at Fayetteville in 2015 with a marketing degree and joined the campaign in November, according to her LinkedIn profile. It lists her title for the campaign as “Deputy Director, Trump Tech” and lists an internship at the consumer products company Colgate Palmolive as her only prior work experience. But Trump’s analytics effort is seen as lagging significantly behind that of Cruz or Clinton. Their campaigns have spent millions identifying and targeting persuadable voters.

There is also mounting evidence that the Trump campaign’s lack of organization is hurting him in the critical fight for delegates that is playing out at the state level. After winning Louisiana, Trump was surprised to learn that he failed to secure as many delegates there as Cruz and has threatened to sue.

And last weekend in Colorado, Trump was shut out as Ted Cruz secured all six of the delegates elected at two Congressional District assemblies that were held a week ahead of the State GOP convention, where the delegation’s remaining, 27 delegates will be elected Saturday.

At the Assembly in Denver, Trump seemed to have as many or more supporters show up than Cruz. But they didn’t have a plan. The Cruz campaign, meanwhile, encouraged its supporters to unite behind a slate of delegates, enabling the Texas Senator to win all three delegate slots from the District, the same situation played out later Saturday afternoon at the other assembly in Aurora.

“Part of it is a reflection of reality: there is not a lot of Trump support in the first place,” said Josh Penry, a GOP operative based in Denver. “Add that to the general lack of organization and you get goose eggs. I think there is a very real chance Cruz sweeps, the rest of the delegates in Colorado.”











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