Monday, August 3, 2015

How Big a Third-Party Threat Is Trump?


If Donald Trump loses the Republican Presidential nomination and runs as a third-party candidate, he definitely could put a crimp in GOP hopes to reclaim the White House.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 29% of Likely U.S. Voters say they are at least somewhat likely to vote for Trump if he is not chosen as the GOP nominee and runs as a third party candidate.

Worrisome for Republicans is the finding that over a third (36%) of Likely GOP Voters say they are likely to vote for Trump if he’s a third-party candidate, with 18% who are Very Likely to do so.

One-in-three (33%) voters who are not affiliated with either major party also are likely Trump voters, including 16% who say they are Very Likely to vote for him if he runs third-party.

Even 19% of Democrats describe themselves as likely Trump voters, although that includes just nine percent (9%) who say they are Very Likely to vote that way.

National Primary Survey of 1,000 U.S. Likely Voters
Conducted July 28-29, 2015

QUESTIONS:

1* Have you ever voted for an independent candidate not affiliated with either major party?

2* If Donald Trump is not chosen as the Republican presidential nominee and runs as a third party candidate, how likely are you to vote for him next year?

NOTE: Margin of Sampling Error, +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence

CLICK HERE for Rasmussen Reports website and report detail results.











NYC Wins When Everyone Can Vote! Michael H. Drucker
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