Trump (R), like the Last Election, cliamed Vote Totals before they were all Counted. Trump’s Popular Vote Total has fallen below 50%, and His Margin over Kamala Harris (D), has narrowed considerably as all the Votes are Counted.
Unfortunately, the U.S. takes time to count 155,000,000 million Votes, give or take a million, and the Actual Result will rob Trump of His Bragging points.
As California, Oregon, and Washington, and other Western States moved closer to completing their Counts, Trump’s % of the Popular Vote fell below 50%. And His Margin of Victory looks to be much Smaller than initially anticipated. In fact, of all the 59 Presidential Elections since the Nation’s Founding, it appears that after All of the 2024 Votes are Counted, only Five Popular Vote Winners in history, will have {revailed by Smaller Percentage Margins than Trump.
As of Monday afternoon, Trump was at 49.94%, while Harris was at 48.26%, according to the Authoritative Cook Political Report’s Tracking of Results from Official Sources in States across the Country. And we can expect that the Republican’s Total will only continue to tick Downward as heavily Democratic States on the West Coast finalize their Vote Tallies.
Trump is Winning a Lower Percent of the Popular Vote this year than Biden did in 2020: (51.3%), Obama in 2012 (51.1%), Obama in 2008 (52.9%), George W. Bush in 2004 (50.7%), George H.W. Bush in 1988 (53.2%), Ronald Reagan in 1984 (58.8%), Reagan in 1980 (50.7%), or Jimmy Carter in 1976 (50.1%).
Harris, on the other hand, is looking like a much Stronger Finisher than She did on Election Night. In fact, the Democrat now has a Higher Percentage of the Popular Vote than Presidents Trump in 2016 (46.1%), Bush in 2000 (47.9%), Clinton in 1992 (43%), or Nixon in 1968 (43.4%).
She has also performed significantly Better than recent Major-Party Nominees such as: Trump in 2020 (46.8%), Trump in 2016 (48.2%), Mitt Romney in 2012 (47.2%), John McCain in 2008 (45.7%), George W. Bush in 2000 (47.9%), Bob Dole in 1996 (40.7%), George H.W. Bush in 1992 (37.4%), Michael Dukakis in 1988 (45.6%), Walter Mondale (40.6%), Carter in 1980 (41%), or Gerald Ford in 1976 (48%).
Some of those Historic Results were Influenced by the Presence of Strong Third-Party contenders. But most were not. And the bottom line is that the gap between Trump and Harris is narrower than the difference between major-party Contenders, in the vast Majority of American Presidential Races.
These Numbers are better for the Democrats than what was recorded on Election Nightt. But. this is a time for serious Reflection on Mistakes that were made, and on Challenges going forward, as part of a needed Examination of how to build a Multiracial, Multiethnic Working-Class Coalition that can Win Decisively, and Not just at the Presidential level, but also in the Struggle to Regain Ccontrol of the House and Senate in 2026.
NYC Wins When Everyone Can Vote! Michael H. Drucker