Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY, 14th District), I was born in this District in 1944, may have anticipated a Long and Prosperous Career in Congress, but if the Democrats in New York’s State Legislature have their way, the Freshman Member may be Out of a Job as soon as 2022.
According to Pollster Frank Luntz, New York is likely to Lose a Seat in Congress after the 2020 Census and Democrats in the State Legislature will have to Redraw the State’s Congressional Districts as a Result. Although there are Plenty Places to Cut, New York Dems are Reportedly eyeing Ocasio-Cortez’s Bronx 14th District for Elimination because she’s been Out of Sync with State-Level Democrats who Control the Process.
“New York is expected to lose a House seat after the 2020 Census, and state Democrats are looking to draw out @AOC’s district,” Luntz wrote on Twitter. He references an Article from a Local New York City Magazine, The City, that suggested the Ocasio-Cortez is doubling down on her Efforts to Encourage her Constituents to fill out the 2020 Census so that she can Stay in Office. Ocasio-Cortez’s Main Problem is that many of her Constituents happen to be “Undocumented”, “Non-Citizens,” as The City puts it.
For Ocasio-Cortez, a Full Census Count is more than a matter of making sure her District gets All the Funds and Services it’s due. In a sense, her Own Political Fortunes could Hang in the Balance. A Review by THE CITY, Building on Data and Analysis by The Texas Tribune, suggests Ocasio-Cortez’ District could be particularly Vulnerable to Undercount because a Little over a Quarter of those Living there are Non-Citizens. That’s a Higher Percentage than any other Congressional District in the State.
In February 2019, Rumors began to Surface that Ocasio-Cortez could be Out of a Job as soon as the 10-Member Districts Commission meet after the 2020 Census, that Ocasio-Cortez isn’t a Typical Politician and she doesn’t Play well with her Own State Party, which ultimately Controls which Member of the New York Delegation to Congress won’t be Returning to Work.
New York Politics are famously Insular with a Tight Circle controlling Major Decision-Making for years. That began to shift in 2018, not just with Ocasio-Cortez’s Victory, but also Wins from a Number of Insurgent Candidates against Democrats who had Caucused with Republicans in the State Senate. To Punish the Progressives, New York’s Democratic Establishment might Boot the Upstart.
Ocasio-Cortez does have an Insurance Policy. She won’t be Leaving Politics anytime soon, and if she’s Yanked Out of the House, she could easily Run for Senate, challenging Sen. Chuck Schumer (D-NY), or Move to a New District and Run there, while her Name Recognition is High.

NYC Wins When Everyone Can Vote! Michael H. Drucker

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