I scanned the RealClear's Election 2016 Presidential Polls site to see what the election would look like if the polls where between Clinton (D),Trump (R), Johnson (LIB) and Stein (Green).
The General Election polls the Commission on Presidential Debates (CPD) will use to determine who gets on the podium, candidate will need minimum of 15% average of those organizations' most recent publicly-reported results at the time of the determination, are:
- ABC-Washington Post
- CBS-New York Times
- CNN-Opinion Research Corporation
- Fox News
- NBC-Wall Street Journal
They will be applied in mid-September, 2016. If a candidate is invited to the first Presidential debate, that person's Vice Presidential running mate will be invited to the Vice Presidential debate. The criteria will be reapplied between the first and second Presidential debates and the second and third Presidential debates.
1st Presidential and V.P. Debate, the CPD Avg. is: Clinton 43%, Trump 40.4%, Johnson 8.4%, and Stein 3.2%.
2nd Presidential Debate Oct 9th, 2016, Washington University in St. Louis, St. Louis, MO - the CPD Avg. is: Clinton 44.8%, Trump 40.8%, Johnson 7.4%, and Stein 2.6%.
3rd Presidential Debate Oct 19th, 2016, University of Nevada, Las Vegas, Las Vegas, NV - the CPD Avg. is: Clinton %, Trump %, Johnson %, and Stein %.
The 4-Way current numbers of all polls are:
Sunday, October 9
General Election (Economist/YouGov) - Clinton 44%, Trump 38%, Johnson 5%, Stein 1%, Other/Undecided 12%
Florida (NBC/WSJ/Marist) - Clinton 45%, Trump 42%, Johnson 5%, Stein 3%, Other/Undecided 5%
Iowa (Des Moines Register) - Trump 43%, Clinton 39%, Johnson 6%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 10%
Ohio (CBS News/YouGov) - Clinton 46%, Trump 42%, Johnson 5%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 5%
Pennsylvania (CBS News/YouGov) - Clinton 48%, Trump 40%, Johnson 4%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 6%
Pennsylvania (NBC/WSJ/Marist) - Clinton 49%, Trump 37%, Johnson 6%, Stein 4%, Other/Undecided 4%
Wisconsin (CBS News/YouGov) - Clinton 43%, Trump 39%, Johnson 4%, Stein 1%, Other/Undecided 13%
Saturday, October 8
Alaska (Moore Info.) - Trump 37%, Clinton 34%, Johnson 10%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 17%
Colorado (Gravis) - Clinton 40%, Trump 40%, Johnson 10%, Stein 3%, Other/Undecided 8%
Friday, October 7
General Election (FOX News) - Clinton 44%, Trump 42%, Johnson 6%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 6%
General Election (Rasmussen Reports) - Clinton 43%, Trump 42%, Johnson 7%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 6%
General Election (Quinnipiac) - Clinton 45%, Trump 40%, Johnson 6%, Stein 3%, Other/Undecided 6%
Florida (Gravis) - Clinton 47%, Trump 45%, Johnson 2%, Stein 1%, Other/Undecided 5%
Washington (KOMO/Strategies 360) - Clinton 47%, Trump 31%, Johnson 10%, Stein 4%, Other/Undecided 8%
Wisconsin (Gravis) - Clinton 48%, Trump 40%, Johnson 4%, Stein 1%, Other/Undecided 7%
Thursday, October 6th
General Election (Rasmussen Reports) - Trump 43%, Clinton 41%, Johnson 8%, Stein 3%, Other/Undecided 5%
Arizona (Emerson) - Clinton 44%, Trump 42%, Johnson 9%, Stein 1%, Other/Undecided 5%
Arizona (OH Predictive Insights) - Clinton 42%, Trump 42%, Johnson 5%, Stein 1%, Other/Undecided 9%
Florida (Emerson) - Trump 45%, Clinton 44%, Johnson 4%, Stein 3%, Other/Undecided 4%
Florida (Univ. of North Florida) - Clinton 41%, Trump 38%, Johnson 6%, Stein 3%, Other/Undecided 12%
Maryland (Wash Post/Univ. of Maryland) - Clinton 63%, Trump 27%, Johnson 4%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 4%
Massachusetts (Western NE University) - Clinton 58%, Trump 26%, Johnson 7%, Stein 4%, Other/Undecided 5%
Michigan (Detroit Free Press) - Clinton 43%, Trump 32%, Johnson 10%, Stein 3%, Other/Undecided 12%
New Hampshire (Boston Globe/Suffolk) - Clinton 44%, Trump 42%, Johnson 5%, Stein 1%, Other/Undecided 8%
Ohio (PPP) - Clinton 44%, Trump 43%, Johnson 5%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 6%
Rhode Island (Emerson) - Clinton 52%, Trump 32%, Johnson 5%, Stein 5%, Other/Undecided 6%
Tennessee (Vanderbilt University) - Trump 44%, Clinton 33%, Johnson 7%, Stein 1%, Other/Undecided 15%
Wednesday, October 5th
General Election (Rasmussen Reports) - Trump 42%, Clinton 41%, Johnson 8%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 7%
General Election (Reuters/Ipsos) - Clinton 42%, Trump 36%, Johnson 8%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 12%
General Election (Gravis) - Clinton 44%, Trump 44%, Johnson 5%, Stein 1%, Other/Undecided 6%
New Mexico (KOB-TV/SurveyUSA) - Clinton 46%, Trump 33%, Johnson 14%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 5%
Ohio (Monmouth) - Clinton 44%, Trump 42%, Johnson 5%, Stein 1%, Other/Undecided 8%
Texas (KTVT-CBS 11) - Trump 45%, Clinton 38%, Johnson 4%, Stein 1%, Other/Undecided 12%
Tuesday, October 4th
General Election (NBC News/SM) - Clinton 46%, Trump 40%, Johnson 9%, Stein 3%, Other/Undecided 2%
General Election (Rasmussen Reports) - Clinton 42%, Trump 41%, Johnson 9%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 6%
General Election (NBC News/SM) - Clinton 46%, Trump 40%, Johnson 9%, Stein 3%, Other/Undecided 2%
Illinois (The Simon Poll/SIU) - Clinton 53%, Trump 28%, Johnson 5%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 12%
Pennsylvania (Franklin & Marshall) - Clinton 47%, Trump 38%, Johnson 5%, Stein 0%, Other/Undecided 10%
Pennsylvania (Monmouth) - Clinton 50%, Trump 40%, Johnson 5%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 3%
Oregon (Hoffman Research) - Clinton 45%, Trump 33%, Johnson 8%, Stein 3%, Other/Undecided 11%
Tennessee (Middle Tn. State Univ.) - Trump 50%, Clinton 38%, Johnson 5%, Stein 1%, Other/Undecided 6%
Monday, October 3rd
General Election (CBS News) - Clinton 45%, Trump 41%, Johnson 8%, Stein 3%, Other/Undecided 3%
General Election (CNN/ORC) - Clinton 47%, Trump 42%, Johnson 7%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 2%
General Election (Economist/YouGov) - Clinton 43%, Trump 40%, Johnson 5%, Stein 3%, Other/Undecided 9%
General Election (Rasmussen Reports) - Clinton 43%, Trump 40%, Johnson 8%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 7%
Colorado (Monmouth) - Clinton 49%, Trump 38%, Johnson 7%, Stein 3%, Other/Undecided 3%
Delaware (University of Delaware) - Clinton 51%, Trump 30%, Johnson 7%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 10%
Florida (Quinnipiac) - Clinton 46%, Trump 41%, Johnson 5%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 6%
Ohio (Quinnipiac) - Trump 47%, Clinton 42%, Johnson 6%, Stein 1%, Other/Undecided 4%
Pennsylvania (Quinnipiac) - Clinton 45%, Trump 41%, Johnson 5%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 7%
Virginia (Christopher Newport Univ.) - Clinton 42%, Trump 35%, Johnson 12%, Stein 1%, Other/Undecided 10%
Between July 12th - October 9th, the highest Percent for the Candidates General and State Polls are:
Clinton - 63%
Trump - 56%
Johnson - 24%
Stein - 7%
NYC Wins When Everyone Can Vote! Michael H. Drucker
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